Dividend Battle Arena
AVD vs VYM: Head-to-Head Quantitative Analysis
10-Year Projected Forecast
THE VERDICT
Projected Winner:VYM
Based on superior dividend growth rates and historical total return performance, VYM is projected to outperform in a 10-year compounding window by approximately $3.2K.
VS
Growth War: Portfolio Value (DRIP)
Income War: Annual Dividends
Head-to-Head Key Metrics
| Metric | AVD | VYM |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.00%Winner | 2.91% |
| 5Y Div CAGR | 5% | 7.8%Winner |
| Payout Ratio | 50% | 45%Winner |
| Share Price | $50.00 | $118.40 |
| Annual Div / Share | $2.00 | $3.44Winner |
| 10Y Portfolio Est. | $28.0K | $31.3KWinner |
| 10Y Annual Income | $899.19Winner | $785.17 |
Year-by-Year Battle Projection ($10,000, DRIP)
| Year | AVD Portfolio | AVD Income | VYM Portfolio | VYM Income | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $11,120 | $420.00 | $11,223 | $313.20 | +$103.00 (VYM) |
| 2 | $12,357 | $458.31 | $12,592 | $347.33 | +$235.00 (VYM) |
| 3 | $13,721 | $499.76 | $14,123 | $385.04 | +$402.00 (VYM) |
| 4 | $15,227 | $544.58 | $15,835 | $426.70 | +$608.00 (VYM) |
| 5 | $16,885 | $593.02 | $17,748 | $472.73 | +$863.00 (VYM) |
| 6 | $18,713 | $645.34 | $19,887 | $523.54 | +$1.2K (VYM) |
| 7 | $20,724 | $701.81 | $22,276 | $579.64 | +$1.6K (VYM) |
| 8 | $22,938 | $762.73 | $24,945 | $641.54 | +$2.0K (VYM) |
| 9 | $25,372 | $828.41 | $27,925 | $709.84 | +$2.6K (VYM) |
| 10 | $28,047 | $899.19 | $31,251 | $785.17 | +$3.2K (VYM) |
💡
When AVD beats VYM
AVD dominates in environments where dividend growth and quality fundamentals are rewarded. If your horizon is 10+ years, AVD's growth rate typically overcomes VYM's starting yield. Choose VYM only if you require immediate maximum cash flow today.