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AR vs ITW: Dividend Comparison 2026

AR yields 4.52% · ITW yields 2.43%● Live data

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After 10 years · $10,000 invested · DRIP enabled
🏆 ITW wins by $45.3K in total portfolio value· pulled ahead in Year 3
10 years
AR
AR
● Live price
4.52%
Share price
$44.23
Annual div
$2.00
5Y div CAGR
0%
Payout ratio
50%
After 10 yrs · $10,000 · DRIP
Portfolio value
$26.9K
Annual income
$604.16
Full AR calculator →
ITW
ITW
● Live price
2.43%
Share price
$256.19
Annual div
$6.22
5Y div CAGR
40.3%
Payout ratio
50%
After 10 yrs · $10,000 · DRIP
Portfolio value
$72.2K
Annual income
$19,287.21
Full ITW calculator →

Portfolio growth — AR vs ITW

📍 ITW pulled ahead of the other in Year 3

Annual dividend income

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Recession Test — Did They Cut Dividends?

How each stock treated shareholders during the 3 biggest crises of the last 20 years

Crisis PeriodARITW
2008–2009
GFC
— No data— No data
2020 Q1–Q2
COVID
— No data— No data
2022 Q4
Rate Hike
— No data— No data
Based on dividend payment history. "Increased" = dividend grew during crisis. "Maintained" = held within 3%. "Cut" = reduced by more than 3%.
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Dividend Calendar Overlap

Combined, AR + ITW cover 0 of 12 monthsgood coverage

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
AR pays
ITW pays
Both pay
Neither
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Tax Bracket Optimizer

Which stock is actually better after tax? Adjust your rate to find out.

AR
Annual income on $10K today (after 15% tax)
$384.35/yr
After 10yr DRIP, annual income (after tax)
$513.54/yr
ITW
Annual income on $10K today (after 15% tax)
$206.37/yr
After 10yr DRIP, annual income (after tax)
$16,394.13/yr
At 15% tax rate, ITW beats the other by $15,880.59/year in after-tax income after 10 years on $10,000
⚖️

Lazy Portfolio Split Optimizer

What's the optimal mix of AR + ITW for your $10,000?

AR: 50%ITW: 50%
100% ITW50/50100% AR
Portfolio after 10yr
$49.5K
Annual income
$9,945.69/yr
Blended yield
20.08%
📊

Analyst Conviction Gap

Where Wall Street is most bullish on AR right now

AR
Analyst Ratings
1
Strong
33
Buy
16
Hold
Consensus: Buy
Price Target
$44.25
+0.0% upside vs current
Range: $36.00 — $50.00
Altman Z
1.9
Piotroski
7/9
ITW
Analyst Ratings
6
Buy
13
Hold
9
Sell
Consensus: Hold
Price Target
$273.50
+6.8% upside vs current
Range: $253.00 — $285.00
Altman Z
8.0
Piotroski
6/9
Analyst ratings via FMP. Altman Z-Score: >3.0 safe, 1.81–3.0 grey zone, <1.81 distress. Piotroski: 7–9 strong, 0–3 weak.
🏛️

Copy Congress — What Are Politicians Buying?

Senate & House STOCK Act disclosures (last 90 days)

AR buys
0
ITW buys
13
PoliticianChamberTickerTypeAmountDate
Shelley Moore Capito🏛 Senate$ITW▼ Sell$1,001 - $15,0002026-02-24
Rich McCormick🏢 House$ITW▲ Buy$1,001 - $15,0002025-11-05
Lisa McClain🏢 House$ITW▲ Buy$1,001 - $15,0002025-06-17
Bruce Westerman🏢 House$ITW▼ Sell$1,001 - $15,0002025-04-21
Bruce Westerman🏢 House$ITW▲ Buy$1,001 - $15,0002025-04-08
Jared Moskowitz🏢 House$ITW▲ Buy$1,001 - $15,0002025-04-07
Carol Devine Miller🏢 House$ITW▲ Buy$1,001 - $15,0002025-03-10
Shelley Moore Capito🏛 Senate$ITW▼ Sell$1,001 - $15,0002025-01-17
Scott Mr Franklin🏢 House$ITW▲ Buy$1,001 - $15,0002024-09-25
Scott Mr Franklin🏢 House$ITW▲ Buy$1,001 - $15,0002024-09-25
STOCK Act mandates disclosure within 45 days of transaction. Data via FMP.Full tracker →
MetricARITW
Forward yield4.52%2.43%
Annual dividend / share$2.00$6.22
Payout ratio50%50%
1-year div growth0%0%
5-year div CAGR0%40.3%
Portfolio after 10y$26.9K$72.2K
Annual income after 10y$604.16$19,287.21
Total dividends collected$5.3K$46.9K
Payment frequencyquarterlyquarterly
SectorEnergyIndustrials
Analyst consensusBuyHold
Analyst price target$44.25$273.50

Year-by-year: AR vs ITW ($10,000, DRIP)

YearAR PortfolioAR Income/yrITW PortfolioITW Income/yrGap
1$11,152$452.18$11,041$340.63+$111.00AR
2$12,404$471.29$12,307$493.12+$97.00AR
3← crossover$13,762$489.90$13,889$720.73$127.00ITW
4$15,234$507.99$15,928$1,066.53$694.00ITW
5$16,826$525.51$18,646$1,603.73$1.8KITW
6$18,546$542.45$22,413$2,461.76$3.9KITW
7$20,403$558.80$27,862$3,880.01$7.5KITW
8$22,406$574.53$36,137$6,324.37$13.7KITW
9$24,564$589.65$49,422$10,755.41$24.9KITW
10$26,887$604.16$72,169$19,287.21$45.3KITW

AR vs ITW: Complete Analysis 2026

AREnergy

Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil properties in the United States. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 502,000 net acres in the Appalachian Basin; and 174,000 net acres in the Upper Devonian Shale. The company also owned and operated 494 miles of gas gathering pipelines in the Appalachian Basin; and 21 compressor stations. It had estimated proved reserves of 17.7 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent, including 10.2 trillion cubic feet of natural gas; 718 million barrels of assumed recovered ethane; 501 million barrels of primarily propane, isobutane, normal butane, and natural gasoline; and 36 million barrels of oil. The company was formerly known as Antero Resources Appalachian Corporation and changed its name to Antero Resources Corporation in June 2013. Antero Resources Corporation was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

Full AR Calculator →

ITWIndustrials

Illinois Tool Works Inc. manufactures and sells industrial products and equipment worldwide. It operates through seven segments: Automotive OEM; Food Equipment; Test & Measurement and Electronics; Welding; Polymers & Fluids; Construction Products; and Specialty Products. The Automotive OEM segment offers plastic and metal components, fasteners, and assemblies for automobiles, light trucks, and other industrial uses. The Food Equipment segment provides warewashing, refrigeration, cooking, and food processing equipment; kitchen exhaust, ventilation, and pollution control systems; and food equipment maintenance and repair services. The Test & Measurement and Electronics segment produces and sells equipment, consumables, and related software for testing and measuring of materials and structures, as well as equipment and consumables used in the production of electronic subassemblies and microelectronics. The Welding segment produces arc welding equipment; and metal arc welding consumables and related accessories. The Polymers & Fluids segment produces adhesives, sealants, lubrication and cutting fluids, and fluids and polymers for auto aftermarket maintenance and appearance. The Construction Products segment offers engineered fastening systems and solutions for the residential construction, renovation/remodel, and commercial construction markets. The Specialty Products segment offers beverage packaging equipment and consumables, product coding and marking equipment and consumables, and appliance components and fasteners. It serves the automotive OEM/tiers, commercial food equipment, construction, general industrial, and automotive aftermarket end markets. The company distributes its products directly to industrial manufacturers, as well as through independent distributors. Illinois Tool Works Inc. was founded in 1912 and is based in Glenview, Illinois.

Full ITW Calculator →
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⚠️ Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Congressional trades sourced from SEC STOCK Act filings via FMP. Past performance does not guarantee future results.