About TuSimple Holdings Inc. (TSP) — Dividend Analysis 2026
TuSimple Holdings Inc., an autonomous technology company, develops autonomous technology specifically designed for semi-trucks in the United States and internationally. It intends to produce a line of purpose-built (Level 4) L4 autonomous semi-trucks for the North American market. The company operates its Autonomous Freight Network (AFN) L4 autonomous semi-trucks equipped with its autonomous driving technology. Its AFN is an ecosystem that consists of L4 autonomous semi-trucks, high definition digital mapped routes, terminals, and TuSimple Connect, a cloud-based autonomous operations oversight system. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Is TSP a good dividend investment in 2026?
TSP offers a 800.00% forward yield with a 50% payout ratio. Strand Safety Score: 39/100 (High Risk). The 5-year dividend CAGR of 0% is modest — investors should weigh current income against growth alternatives.
TSP DRIP calculator — what's the difference?
With DRIP on a $10,000 investment over 10 years, your TSP portfolio grows to $726.74M vs $11.04M without reinvestment. This is the compound interest effect in action.
TSP dividend growth history & forecast
TSP has grown its dividend by 0% over the last year and 0% annually over 5 years. At this pace, an investor who holds for 10+ years will see their yield on cost grow substantially above the current 800.00%.
FCF data unavailable — payout ratio is moderate — using payout ratio as proxy
Debt Leverage
12 / 30 pts
12/30
Debt/EBITDA data not available for this ticker
Earnings Momentum-0.5B → -1.1B → -0.2B
15 / 30 pts
15/30
Net income grew in the latest year — positive but trend is unconfirmed
OVERALL ASSESSMENT
Dividend sustainability questionable — consider alternative income stocks.
STRAND SCORE
39
/100
Strand Safety Score™ is proprietary to DividendFlow. Inputs: FCF, Debt/EBITDA, Net Income from SEC filings via FMP. Not financial advice. N/A for ETFs, pre-revenue companies, and tickers without income statements.
🌍 TSP Yield by Country & Account Type
Real after-tax yield depends on where you live and how you hold TSP.
Gross yield
800.00%
Tax rate
15.00%
After-tax yield
680.00%
Real yield (−CPI)
677.20%
Account/Country
Tax Rate
After-tax Yield
Real Yield
$10K Annual Income
🇺🇸 Roth IRA / 401k
0%
800.00%
797.20%
$80,000 / yr
🇺🇸 US Taxable (15%) ✓
15%
680.00%
677.20%
$68,000 / yr
🇺🇸 US Taxable (20%)
20%
640.00%
637.20%
$64,000 / yr
🇬🇧 UK ISA
0%
800.00%
797.20%
$80,000 / yr
🇬🇧 UK Taxable
8.75%
730.00%
727.20%
$73,000 / yr
🇨🇦 TFSA
0%
800.00%
797.20%
$80,000 / yr
🇨🇦 CA Taxable
25%
600.00%
597.20%
$60,000 / yr
🇦🇺 Super (pension)
15%
680.00%
677.20%
$68,000 / yr
🇦🇺 AU Taxable
30%
560.00%
557.20%
$56,000 / yr
🇩🇪 DE Taxable
26.375%
589.00%
586.20%
$58,900 / yr
🇫🇷 FR Taxable
30%
560.00%
557.20%
$56,000 / yr
Real yield = after-tax yield minus US CPI of 2.8%. 12-month CPI (US BLS via FMP economic-indicators). Click any row to select. US withholding tax (30%, reducible by treaty) applies to non-US residents holding US stocks in taxable accounts.
🎯 TSP Income Goal & Break-Even
Dividend Break-Even
1yr
Years for dividends to fully repay your TSP investment of $0.25/share (🇺🇸 US Taxable (15%) · 15.00% tax)
$10K invested · 10 Years
Dividends earned (DRIP)
$19.46M
Lost to inflation (2.8% CPI)
−$2.5K
Real purchasing power gain
$19.46M
12-month CPI (US BLS via FMP economic-indicators).
How much do I need to invest in TSP for:
Shares needed
14,118
Capital required
$3,530
Monthly income
$2,000
Based on current dividend of $2.00/share/yr · 🇺🇸 US Taxable (15%) · static projection (no growth assumed).
📅 TSP Dividend Payment Schedule
TSP pays quarterly — 4 times per year. Next ex-div: TBD.
Jan
Feb
Mar
💰
Apr
May
Jun
💰
Jul
Aug
Sep
💰
Oct
Nov
Dec
💰
10 shares
$4.25 / payment
$17.00 / year after tax
100 shares
$42.50 / payment
$170.00 / year after tax
1,000 shares
$425.00 / payment
$1700.00 / year after tax
📊 TSP vs Industrials Benchmarks
How TSP compares to typical Industrials averages.
Benchmark: Industrials
Dividend Yield▲+797.80% vs sectorBetter
TSP
800.00%
avg
2.20%
5Y Dividend CAGR▼-7.50% vs sectorBelow avg
TSP
0.00%
avg
7.50%
Payout Ratio▼+6.00% vs sectorBelow avg
TSP
50.00%
avg
44.00%
Benchmarks: S&P 500 sector averages (2024–2026). Sources: Morningstar, Bloomberg, NAREIT. 5Y CAGR for TSP sourced from FMP /financial-growth endpoint — real data, not estimates.
🏛️ TSP Insider Activity
No recent SEC filings reported in the last 90 days.
🎯
Analyst Price Target
Wall Street consensus
Current Price
$0.25
Analyst Target
$33.60
Upside / Downside
+13340.0%
Range
$11.00 – $55.00
💡 If TSP reaches the analyst target of $33.60, investors buying today at $0.25 would see an effective yield of 5.95% on shares purchased at target price — vs 800.00% at current price.
Analyst consensus price target via FMP. Not a guarantee of future performance. Past analyst accuracy varies.
🔬
Financial Health Scores
Altman Z-Score
-2.94
🔴 Distress Zone — elevated dividend cut risk
Safe: >3.0 · Grey: 1.81–3.0 · Distress: <1.81
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
⚠️ Moderate fundamentals
Strong: 7–9 · Moderate: 4–6 · Weak: 0–3
Altman Z-Score predicts bankruptcy risk. Piotroski F-Score measures financial strength across 9 criteria. High scores → lower dividend cut risk. Data via FMP financial statements.
📊 About This Data
Dividend yields, payout ratios, and financial metrics are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and cross-referenced with SEC EDGAR filings. Data is cached and updated every 24 hours via our nightly refresh. DRIP projections are forward-looking estimates, not guarantees.
Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. DividendFlow is not a registered investment advisor. Projections generated by the TSP dividend calculator are estimates based on historical data and user inputs. Actual future returns, stock prices, and dividend payments will vary. Dividends can be cut or suspended at any time. All investments carry risk, including the loss of principal. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Full disclaimer →