HomeCompareGBDC vs NSC

GBDC vs NSC: Dividend Comparison 2026

GBDC yields 11.86% · NSC yields 1.91%● Live data

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After 10 years · $10,000 invested · DRIP enabled
🏆 GBDC wins by $20.78M in total portfolio value
10 years
GBDC
GBDC
● Live price
11.86%
Share price
$12.65
Annual div
$1.50
5Y div CAGR
51.1%
Payout ratio
50%
After 10 yrs · $10,000 · DRIP
Portfolio value
$20.85M
Annual income
$16,450,733.83
Full GBDC calculator →
NSC
NSC
● Live price
1.91%
Share price
$282.50
Annual div
$5.40
5Y div CAGR
43.6%
Payout ratio
50%
After 10 yrs · $10,000 · DRIP
Portfolio value
$66.7K
Annual income
$17,746.55
Full NSC calculator →

Portfolio growth — GBDC vs NSC

📍 GBDC pulled ahead of the other in Year 1

Annual dividend income

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Recession Test — Did They Cut Dividends?

How each stock treated shareholders during the 3 biggest crises of the last 20 years

Crisis PeriodGBDCNSC
2008–2009
GFC
— No data— No data
2020 Q1–Q2
COVID
— No data— No data
2022 Q4
Rate Hike
— No data— No data
Based on dividend payment history. "Increased" = dividend grew during crisis. "Maintained" = held within 3%. "Cut" = reduced by more than 3%.
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Dividend Calendar Overlap

Combined, GBDC + NSC cover 0 of 12 monthsgood coverage

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
GBDC pays
NSC pays
Both pay
Neither
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Tax Bracket Optimizer

Which stock is actually better after tax? Adjust your rate to find out.

GBDC
Annual income on $10K today (after 15% tax)
$1,007.91/yr
After 10yr DRIP, annual income (after tax)
$13,983,123.76/yr
NSC
Annual income on $10K today (after 15% tax)
$162.48/yr
After 10yr DRIP, annual income (after tax)
$15,084.57/yr
At 15% tax rate, GBDC beats the other by $13,968,039.19/year in after-tax income after 10 years on $10,000
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Lazy Portfolio Split Optimizer

What's the optimal mix of GBDC + NSC for your $10,000?

GBDC: 50%NSC: 50%
100% NSC50/50100% GBDC
Portfolio after 10yr
$10.46M
Annual income
$8,234,240.20/yr
Blended yield
78.73%
📊

Analyst Conviction Gap

Where Wall Street is most bullish on NSC right now

GBDC
Analyst Ratings
6
Buy
5
Hold
Consensus: Buy
Price Target
$14.00
+10.7% upside vs current
Range: $13.00 — $15.00
Altman Z
0.6
Piotroski
6/9
NSC
Analyst Ratings
21
Buy
24
Hold
3
Sell
Consensus: Hold
Price Target
$315.33
+11.6% upside vs current
Range: $288.00 — $342.00
Altman Z
2.3
Piotroski
7/9
Analyst ratings via FMP. Altman Z-Score: >3.0 safe, 1.81–3.0 grey zone, <1.81 distress. Piotroski: 7–9 strong, 0–3 weak.
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Copy Congress — What Are Politicians Buying?

Senate & House STOCK Act disclosures (last 90 days)

GBDC buys
2
NSC buys
0
PoliticianChamberTickerTypeAmountDate
David P. Joyce🏢 House$GBDC▼ Sell$1,001 - $15,0002023-06-30
David P. Joyce🏢 House$GBDC▼ Sell$15,001 - $50,0002023-06-19
David P. Joyce🏢 House$GBDC▼ Sell$15,001 - $50,0002022-07-14
David P. Joyce🏢 House$GBDC▼ Sell$15,001 - $50,0002022-07-12
Teresa Leger Fernandez🏢 House$GBDC▼ Sell$15,001 - $50,0002021-01-20
David P. Joyce🏢 House$GBDC▲ Buy$1,001 - $15,0002020-02-25
David P. Joyce🏢 House$GBDC▲ Buy$15,001 - $50,0002019-05-30
STOCK Act mandates disclosure within 45 days of transaction. Data via FMP.Full tracker →
MetricGBDCNSC
Forward yield11.86%1.91%
Annual dividend / share$1.50$5.40
Payout ratio50%50%
1-year div growth0%0%
5-year div CAGR51.1%43.6%
Portfolio after 10y$20.85M$66.7K
Annual income after 10y$16,450,733.83$17,746.55
Total dividends collected$20.43M$42.2K
Payment frequencyquarterlyquarterly
SectorBDCStock
Analyst consensusBuyHold
Analyst price target$14.00$315.33

Year-by-year: GBDC vs NSC ($10,000, DRIP)

YearGBDC PortfolioGBDC Income/yrNSC PortfolioNSC Income/yrGap
1← crossover$12,492$1,791.70$10,974$274.49+$1.5KGBDC
2$16,527$3,160.58$12,147$404.28+$4.4KGBDC
3$23,588$5,904.90$13,598$600.54+$10.0KGBDC
4$37,141$11,901.65$15,452$902.22+$21.7KGBDC
5$66,205$26,463.38$17,909$1,375.92+$48.3KGBDC
6$137,452$66,612.65$21,303$2,140.25+$116.1KGBDC
7$342,372$195,298.53$26,211$3,416.66+$316.2KGBDC
8$1,053,292$686,954.33$33,688$5,641.72+$1.02MGBDC
9$4,111,439$2,984,416.95$45,777$9,731.21+$4.07MGBDC
10$20,849,974$16,450,733.83$66,728$17,746.55+$20.78MGBDC

GBDC vs NSC: Complete Analysis 2026

GBDCBDC

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) is a business development company and operates as an externally managed closed-end non-diversified management investment company. It invests in debt and minority equity investments in middle-market companies that are, in most cases, sponsored by private equity investors. It typically invests in diversified consumer services, automobiles, healthcare technology, insurance, health care equipment and supplies, hotels, restaurants and leisure, healthcare providers and services, IT services and specialty retails. It seeks to invest in the United States. It primarily invests in first lien traditional senior debt, first lien one stop, junior debt and equity, senior secured, one stop, unitranche, second lien, subordinated and mezzanine loans of middle-market companies, and warrants.

Full GBDC Calculator →

NSCStock

Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood pulp, scrap paper, beverages, canned goods, and consumer products; chemicals consist of sulfur and related chemicals, petroleum products, chlorine and bleaching compounds, plastics, rubber, industrial chemicals, chemical wastes, and sand; metals and construction materials, such as steel, aluminum products, machinery, scrap metals, cement, aggregates, minerals, clay, transportation equipment, and military-related products; and automotive, including finished motor vehicles and automotive parts, as well as coal. It also transports overseas freight through various Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports; and provides commuter rail passenger transportation services and operates an intermodal network. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated approximately 19,300 route miles in 22 states and the District of Columbia. Norfolk Southern Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.

Full NSC Calculator →
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⚠️ Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Congressional trades sourced from SEC STOCK Act filings via FMP. Past performance does not guarantee future results.