Is UPSG or ARCC a better dividend investment in 2026?

UPSG currently yields 14.11% with a 5% 5-year dividend growth rate. ARCC yields 9.06% with 3.1% growth. The better choice depends on your goal: UPSG offers higher current income.

What is the dividend yield difference between UPSG and ARCC?

UPSG has a forward dividend yield of 14.11% ($2.00/share annually). ARCC yields 9.06% ($1.92/share annually). The yield gap is 5.05 percentage points.

Home › Compare › UPSG vs ARCC

UPSG vs ARCC: Dividend Comparison 2026

UPSG yields 14.11% · ARCC yields 9.06%● Live data

vsPost on X →

After 10 years · $10,000 invested · DRIP enabled

🏆 UPSG wins by $6.7K in total portfolio value

INVESTMENT

TIME HORIZON10 years

UPSG

● Live price

14.11%

Share price

$14.18

Annual div

$2.00

5Y div CAGR

Payout ratio

50%

After 10 yrs · $10,000 · DRIP

Portfolio value

$50.5K

Annual income

$3,380.30

Full UPSG calculator →

ARCC

Ares Capital Corporation

● Live price

9.06%

Share price

$21.20

Annual div

$1.92

5Y div CAGR

3.1%

Payout ratio

88%

After 10 yrs · $10,000 · DRIP

Portfolio value

$43.8K

Annual income

$2,279.31

Full ARCC calculator →

Portfolio growth — UPSG vs ARCC

📍 UPSG pulled ahead of the other in Year 1

Annual dividend income

🛡️

Recession Test — Did They Cut Dividends?

How each stock treated shareholders during the 3 biggest crises of the last 20 years

Crisis Period	UPSG	ARCC
2008–2009 GFC	— No data	— No data
2020 Q1–Q2 COVID	— No data	— No data
2022 Q4 Rate Hike	— No data	— No data

Based on dividend payment history. "Increased" = dividend grew during crisis. "Maintained" = held within 3%. "Cut" = reduced by more than 3%.

📅

Dividend Calendar Overlap

Combined, UPSG + ARCC cover 0 of 12 months — good coverage

Jan

—

Feb

—

Mar

—

Apr

—

May

—

Jun

—

Jul

—

Aug

—

Sep

—

Oct

—

Nov

—

Dec

—

UPSG pays

ARCC pays

Both pay

Neither

💰

Tax Bracket Optimizer

Which stock is actually better after tax? Adjust your rate to find out.

UPSG

Annual income on $10K today (after 15% tax)

$1,199.03/yr

After 10yr DRIP, annual income (after tax)

$2,873.26/yr

ARCC

Annual income on $10K today (after 15% tax)

$769.81/yr

After 10yr DRIP, annual income (after tax)

$1,937.41/yr

At 15% tax rate, UPSG beats the other by $935.84/year in after-tax income after 10 years on $10,000

⚖️

Lazy Portfolio Split Optimizer

What's the optimal mix of UPSG + ARCC for your $10,000?

UPSG: 50%ARCC: 50%

100% ARCC50/50100% UPSG

Portfolio after 10yr

$47.2K

Annual income

$2,829.81/yr

Blended yield

6.00%

📊

Analyst Conviction Gap

Where Wall Street is most bullish on ARCC right now

UPSG

No analyst data

ARCC

Analyst Ratings

Buy

Hold

Consensus: Buy

Price Target

$21.88

+3.2% upside vs current

Range: $21.00 — $23.00

Altman Z

0.8

Piotroski

4/9

Analyst ratings via FMP. Altman Z-Score: >3.0 safe, 1.81–3.0 grey zone, <1.81 distress. Piotroski: 7–9 strong, 0–3 weak.

🏛️

Copy Congress — What Are Politicians Buying?

Senate & House STOCK Act disclosures (last 90 days)

UPSG buys

ARCC buys

No recent congressional trades found for UPSG or ARCC in the last 90 days.

STOCK Act mandates disclosure within 45 days of transaction. Data via FMP.Full tracker →

MetricUPSGARCC

Forward yield	14.11% ✓	9.06%
Annual dividend / share	$2.00 ✓	$1.92
Payout ratio	50% ✓	88%
1-year div growth	0%	2% ✓
5-year div CAGR	0%	3.1% ✓
Portfolio after 10y	$50.5K ✓	$43.8K
Annual income after 10y	$3,380.30 ✓	$2,279.31
Total dividends collected	$23.5K ✓	$15.5K
Payment frequency	quarterly	quarterly
Sector	Stock	BDC

Year-by-year: UPSG vs ARCC ($10,000, DRIP)

Year	UPSG Portfolio	UPSG Income/yr	ARCC Portfolio	ARCC Income/yr	Gap
1← crossover	$12,111	$1,410.63	$11,774	$933.74	+$337.00 → UPSG
2	$14,555	$1,596.60	$13,808	$1,045.61	+$747.00 → UPSG
3	$17,367	$1,793.31	$16,135	$1,166.34	+$1.2K → UPSG
4	$20,583	$1,999.81	$18,786	$1,296.19	+$1.8K → UPSG
5	$24,238	$2,215.02	$21,800	$1,435.41	+$2.4K → UPSG
6	$28,373	$2,437.80	$25,215	$1,584.23	+$3.2K → UPSG
7	$33,026	$2,666.94	$29,076	$1,742.84	+$4.0K → UPSG
8	$38,239	$2,901.22	$33,430	$1,911.44	+$4.8K → UPSG
9	$44,055	$3,139.41	$38,328	$2,090.21	+$5.7K → UPSG
10	$50,519	$3,380.30	$43,827	$2,279.31	+$6.7K → UPSG

UPSG vs ARCC: Complete Analysis 2026

UPSG — Stock

The Leverage Shares 2x Long UPS Daily ETF (UPSG) is a 2x Daily Leveraged (Bull) ETF designed for active traders seeking to magnify short-term results. The UPSG ETF aims to achieve two times (200%) the daily performance of UPS stock, minus fees and expenses.

Full UPSG Calculator →

ARCC — BDC

Ares Capital is the largest Business Development Company by assets. It provides financing to middle market companies and pays a generous quarterly dividend plus occasional special dividends. With $21B+ in AUM and diversified exposure across industries, ARCC is the benchmark BDC for income investors.

Full ARCC Calculator →

📬

Get this UPSG vs ARCC comparison by email

Save your analysis + weekly dividend insights. Free forever.

More comparisons

UPSG vs SCHD UPSG vs JEPI UPSG vs O UPSG vs KO UPSG vs MAIN UPSG vs HTGC UPSG vs GBDC UPSG vs ORCC

⚠️ Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Congressional trades sourced from SEC STOCK Act filings via FMP. Past performance does not guarantee future results.