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MAIN vs XPO: Dividend Comparison 2026

MAIN yields 7.09% · XPO yields 1.07%● Live data

vsPost on X →
After 10 years · $10,000 invested · DRIP enabled
🏆 MAIN wins by $47.93M in total portfolio value
10 years
MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation
● Live price
7.09%
Share price
$51.65
Annual div
$3.66
5Y div CAGR
72.7%
Payout ratio
50%
After 10 yrs · $10,000 · DRIP
Portfolio value
$47.95M
Annual income
$40,208,699.11
Full MAIN calculator →
XPO
XPO
● Live price
1.07%
Share price
$186.40
Annual div
$2.00
5Y div CAGR
0%
Payout ratio
50%
After 10 yrs · $10,000 · DRIP
Portfolio value
$21.2K
Annual income
$115.03
Full XPO calculator →

Portfolio growth — MAIN vs XPO

📍 MAIN pulled ahead of the other in Year 1

Annual dividend income

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Recession Test — Did They Cut Dividends?

How each stock treated shareholders during the 3 biggest crises of the last 20 years

Crisis PeriodMAINXPO
2008–2009
GFC
— No data— No data
2020 Q1–Q2
COVID
— No data— No data
2022 Q4
Rate Hike
— No data— No data
Based on dividend payment history. "Increased" = dividend grew during crisis. "Maintained" = held within 3%. "Cut" = reduced by more than 3%.
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Dividend Calendar Overlap

Combined, MAIN + XPO cover 0 of 12 monthsgood coverage

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
MAIN pays
XPO pays
Both pay
Neither
💰

Tax Bracket Optimizer

Which stock is actually better after tax? Adjust your rate to find out.

MAIN
Annual income on $10K today (after 15% tax)
$602.32/yr
After 10yr DRIP, annual income (after tax)
$34,177,394.24/yr
XPO
Annual income on $10K today (after 15% tax)
$91.20/yr
After 10yr DRIP, annual income (after tax)
$97.78/yr
At 15% tax rate, MAIN beats the other by $34,177,296.47/year in after-tax income after 10 years on $10,000
⚖️

Lazy Portfolio Split Optimizer

What's the optimal mix of MAIN + XPO for your $10,000?

MAIN: 50%XPO: 50%
100% XPO50/50100% MAIN
Portfolio after 10yr
$23.98M
Annual income
$20,104,407.08/yr
Blended yield
83.82%
📊

Analyst Conviction Gap

Where Wall Street is most bullish on XPO right now

MAIN
Analyst Ratings
2
Buy
11
Hold
Consensus: Hold
Price Target
$65.25
+26.3% upside vs current
Range: $60.00 — $70.00
Altman Z
1.7
Piotroski
5/9
XPO
Analyst Ratings
21
Buy
10
Hold
1
Sell
Consensus: Buy
Price Target
$190.33
+2.1% upside vs current
Range: $95.00 — $250.00
Altman Z
3.5
Piotroski
5/9
Analyst ratings via FMP. Altman Z-Score: >3.0 safe, 1.81–3.0 grey zone, <1.81 distress. Piotroski: 7–9 strong, 0–3 weak.
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Copy Congress — What Are Politicians Buying?

Senate & House STOCK Act disclosures (last 90 days)

MAIN buys
1
XPO buys
0
PoliticianChamberTickerTypeAmountDate
David Cheston Rouzer🏢 House$MAIN▼ Sell$15,001 - $50,0002021-11-15
David Cheston Rouzer🏢 House$MAIN▲ Buy$1,001 - $15,0002019-02-28
STOCK Act mandates disclosure within 45 days of transaction. Data via FMP.Full tracker →
MetricMAINXPO
Forward yield7.09%1.07%
Annual dividend / share$3.66$2.00
Payout ratio50%50%
1-year div growth0%0%
5-year div CAGR72.7%0%
Portfolio after 10y$47.95M$21.2K
Annual income after 10y$40,208,699.11$115.03
Total dividends collected$46.82M$1.1K
Payment frequencymonthlyquarterly
SectorBDCIndustrials
Analyst consensusHoldBuy
Analyst price target$65.25$190.33

Year-by-year: MAIN vs XPO ($10,000, DRIP)

YearMAIN PortfolioMAIN Income/yrXPO PortfolioXPO Income/yrGap
1← crossover$12,464$1,223.78$10,807$107.30+$1.7KMAIN
2$16,353$2,343.58$11,672$108.37+$4.7KMAIN
3$23,105$4,724.42$12,599$109.39+$10.5KMAIN
4$36,226$10,256.23$13,591$110.35+$22.6KMAIN
5$65,426$24,707.64$14,653$111.25+$50.8KMAIN
6$142,101$68,562.02$15,791$112.10+$126.3KMAIN
7$388,521$228,799.95$17,010$112.90+$371.5KMAIN
8$1,397,868$961,169.80$18,314$113.66+$1.38MMAIN
9$6,884,663$5,313,459.69$19,710$114.37+$6.86MMAIN
10$47,947,060$40,208,699.11$21,205$115.03+$47.93MMAIN

MAIN vs XPO: Complete Analysis 2026

MAINBDC

Main Street Capital Corporation is a business development company specializes in equity capital to lower middle market companies. The firm specializing in recapitalizations, management buyouts, refinancing, family estate planning, management buyouts, refinancing, industry consolidation, mature, later stage emerging growth. The firm also provides debt capital to middle market companies for acquisitions, management buyouts, growth financings, recapitalizations and refinancing. The firm seeks to partner with entrepreneurs, business owners and management teams and generally provides one stop financing alternatives within its lower middle market portfolio. It prefers to invest in air freight and logistics, auto components, building products, chemicals, commercial services, computers, construction and engineering, consumer finance, consumer services, electronic equipment, energy equipment and services, financial services, health care equipment, health care providers, hotels, restaurants, and leisure, internet software and services, IT Services, machinery, oil, gas and consumable fuels, paper and forest products, professional and industrial services, road and rail, software, specialty retail, telecommunication, consumer discretionary, energy, materials, technology, and transportation. The firm typically invests in lower middle market companies generally with annual revenues between $5 million and $300 million. It prefers to invest in ranging between $2 million and $75 million in equity investment and enterprise value in ranging between $3 million and $20 million. The firm typically prefers to invest in the range of $5 million and $50 million per transaction in debt investment value and in the range of $1 million and $20 million in annual EBITDA. The firm's middle market debt investments are made in businesses that are generally larger in size than its lower middle market portfolio companies. It takes 5 percent minority and up to 50 percent majority equity investments. Main Street Capital Corporation was founded in 2007 and is based in Houston, Texas with an additional office in Chojnów, Poland.

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XPOIndustrials

XPO Logistics, Inc. provides freight transportation services in the United States, rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, North American LTL and Brokerage and Other Services. The North American LTL segment provides customers with less-than-truckload (LTL) services, such as geographic density and day-definite regional, inter-regional, and transcontinental LTL freight services. This segment also offers cross-border U.S. service to and from Mexico and Canada, as well as intra-Canada service. The Brokerage and Other Services segment offers last mile logistics for heavy goods sold through e-commerce, omnichannel retail, and direct-to-consumer channels, as well as other non-core brokered freight transportation modes. It provides its services to customers in various industries, such as industrial and manufacturing, retail and e-commerce, food and beverage, logistics and transportation, and consumer goods. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Full XPO Calculator →
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⚠️ Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Congressional trades sourced from SEC STOCK Act filings via FMP. Past performance does not guarantee future results.